| Title: | "Future emissions of greenhouse gases, particulate matter and volatile organic compounds from municipal solid waste burning in India" |
| Address: | "Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Sector 81, Manauli PO, SAS Nagar, Punjab 140306, India. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Sector 81, Manauli PO, SAS Nagar, Punjab 140306, India. Electronic address: bsinha@iisermohali.ac.in" |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159708 |
| ISSN/ISBN: | 1879-1026 (Electronic) 0048-9697 (Linking) |
| Abstract: | "Waste generation projections for the 21st century are important for the investigation of long-term global environmental problems, and greenhouse gas emissions associated with waste management. This paper presents future waste generation and open waste burning projections for India, which are consistent with the scenarios in the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) database. India's waste generation will increase to 547 Tgy(-1) and 828 Tgy(-1), by 2030 and 2050, respectively, if India's waste generation rates converge to those of developed economies under the fossil fuel based economic growth projections of SSP5. This will increase open waste burning emissions by 140 % and 110 % over 2015 levels by 2030 and 2050, respectively. Business-as-usual projections predict a waste generation of 268 +/- 14 Tgy(-1) by 2030 and 356 +/- 34 Tgy(-1) by 2050 and elimination of waste burning other than landfill fires by the mid-2040s. Aggressive promotion of source segregation and treatment of biodegradable waste under a sustainable development scenario (SSP1) can advance this transition despite higher income growth and reduce waste burning from 68 (45-105) Tgy(-1) in 2015 to 21-48 Tgy(-1) and 2-22 Tgy(-1) of waste burning by 2030 and 2050, respectively. The failure of programs targeted at this waste component would result in 31-60 Tgy(-1) and 26-108 Tgy(-1) of waste burning by 2030 and 2050, respectively. For the SSP5 income trajectory a failure to successfully source segregate and treat biodegradable waste would almost double open waste burning by 2050" |
| Keywords: | Solid Waste/analysis Particulate Matter/analysis *Greenhouse Gases *Volatile Organic Compounds *Air Pollutants/analysis Greenhouse Effect *Refuse Disposal Aerosol Air pollution Emission inventory Municipal solid waste generation Open burning Trace gases; |
| Notes: | "MedlineSharma, Gaurav Sinha, Baerbel eng Netherlands 2022/10/28 Sci Total Environ. 2023 Feb 1; 858(Pt 2):159708. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159708. Epub 2022 Oct 24" |
