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Int J Environ Res Public Health

Title:		"Modeling the Effects of Climate Change on Surface Ozone during Summer in the Yangtze River Delta Region, China"
Author(s):		Gao D; Xie M; Chen X; Wang T; Zhan C; Ren J; Liu Q;
Address:		"School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. DG1828003@smail.nju.edu.cn. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. minxie@nju.edu.cn. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. xchen@nju.edu.cn. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. tjwang@nju.edu.cn. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. 141170075@smail.nju.edu.cn. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. tommy_9527@163.com. Jiangsu Provincial Academy of Environmental Science, Nanjing 210036, China. antmayiliu@163.com"
Journal Title:		Int J Environ Res Public Health
Year:		2019
Volume:		20190430
Issue:		9
Page Number:		-
DOI:		10.3390/ijerph16091528
ISSN/ISBN:		1660-4601 (Electronic) 1661-7827 (Print) 1660-4601 (Linking)
Abstract:		"Future climate change can impact ozone concentrations by changing regional meteorological factors related to ozone (O(3)) pollution. To better understand the variations of meteorological factors and their effects on O(3) formation processes under future climate conditions, we model the present and the future meteorology and air quality in summer over the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region by using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Chemistry module (WRF/Chem), which is driven by the outputs of Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4). The simulations predict that solar radiation, 2-m air temperature, and wind speed increase in the daytime over most of the YRD region. Absolute humidity and precipitation increase in the north and decrease in the south, while the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) has an opposite change pattern displaying a decrease in the north and an increase in the south. The southerly wind will be strengthened in the daytime. At night, the change patterns of the meteorological factors are similar to the daytime but with small variations. Meanwhile, O(3) and its precursors all increase in the north and decrease in the south. The increases of NO(x), volatile organic compounds (VOC), and CO are related with the decreases of PBLH and the input effect of stronger southerly wind, while the decreases are attributed to the output effect of the stronger southerly wind. During the daytime, the increase of surface O(3) in the north is dominated by the chemical processes related with the increases of solar radiation, air temperature, and O(3) precursors. The decrease of surface O(3) in the south is mainly caused by the transport process changing with the strengthened southerly wind. At night, the surface O(3) changing the amplitude is less than the daytime. The less O(3) variations at night can be attributed to an O(3) titration reaction with NO, the changes in NO(x) concentrations, and the increases of nocturnal PBLH. With the aid of H(2)O(2)/HNO(3), O(3) formation in the YRD region is found to be easily affected by NO(x) in the future. The findings can help to understand the changing trend of O(3) in the YRD region and can propose reasonable pollution control policies"
Keywords:		"Air Pollutants/*analysis China Climate Change *Environmental Monitoring Models, Theoretical Ozone/*analysis Rivers Seasons *Weather WRF-Chem ozone ozone sensitivity;"
Notes:		"MedlineGao, Da Xie, Min Chen, Xing Wang, Tijian Zhan, Chenchao Ren, Junyu Liu, Qian eng Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Switzerland 2019/05/06 Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Apr 30; 16(9):1528. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16091528"